Written from the floor, not the whiteboard
Each piece starts with a specific failure mode we encountered in an engagement. No trend forecasting, no generic frameworks — only what we saw and what it cost.
Why safety stock formulas fail in seasonal manufacturing
The standard reorder-point model assumes demand variance is symmetrical. In three discrete-manufacturing engagements, it wasn't — and the stockouts came exactly where the math said they wouldn't.
Recent pieces
The carrier consolidation trap in regional distribution
When throughput metrics hide the actual constraint
Sales cycle length as a diagnostic for ops readiness
Reducing to two carriers looked like savings on paper. Eighteen months later, service failures had erased the rate advantage and then some.
Long enterprise cycles are often blamed on procurement. In several cases, the real delay was the firm's own inability to scope delivery credibly.
The line was hitting OEE targets. The warehouse downstream was building backlog. The two numbers weren't measuring the same thing.
Recognize a problem in what you read?
If the constraint we described looks familiar, we can talk through whether your situation is close enough that our experience transfers.